![]() |
| The Strait of Hormuz disruption |
GCC Scrap Exporters Face Rising Disruption
The Strait of Hormuz metals supply risk is escalating due to regional military tensions. Iran’s closure threat directly affects Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) exporters of aluminum, copper, and recycled steel. As a result, shipping delays and force majeure declarations at aluminum smelters have increased operational uncertainty. UAE-based PGI Group CEO Anshul Gupta warns that prolonged closure would severely constrain East Asian scrap supply chains, including India, Bangladesh, and Vietnam.
Meanwhile, alternative routes such as Jeddah in Saudi Arabia add high freight costs and logistical complexity. Shipping lines impose war risk surcharges up to $4,000 per 40-foot container. Consequently, recyclers face sharply higher expenses, which compound already inflated nonferrous metal prices. Copper and aluminum scrap traders now encounter both supply shortages and increased transaction costs.
LME Aluminum and Steel Market Pressures
The Strait of Hormuz metals supply risk has coincided with a significant LME aluminum price surge. Cash settlement prices rose from $3,121 to $3,585 per metric ton, a nearly 15% increase within one month. Meanwhile, steel scrap buyers in India and Southeast Asia face constrained availability. Online events hosted by Dubai-based Waste & Recycling aim to analyze geopolitical impacts on ferrous and nonferrous markets, highlighting heightened market volatility. In contrast, GCC scrap producers are racing to secure alternative logistics while maintaining mill operations.
ScrapInsight Commentary
The Strait of Hormuz conflict poses immediate supply chain risks for aluminum and steel scrap in Asia. Prices are likely to remain elevated if closure persists, pressuring recyclers and importers. Policymakers must consider port and shipping contingencies to stabilize the metals ecosystem and support circular economy initiatives.


